Put on Notice: The Charedim Aren't in Anyone's Pocket!
Let's be clear: The results of the upcoming internal election primaries are not known in advance.
The "Chadash" newspaper is good at praise and flattery, but bad at addressing the municipality's problems. Others do the exact opposite, refusing to acknowledge anything positive. But it's hard to believe the voting results will split solely along ethnic\ideological party-lines this time.
This is not a promise, obviously (we aren't politicians!). We aren't prophets, but descendants of prophets. But we do see the discontent wherever we look. There are also silent undercurrents, which the time has not yet come to reveal.
In retrospect, it seems somewhat naive to think it would be enough to just import voters into unbuilt neighborhoods, and throw around grand promises in order to increase the voting margins from the last round.
Just to remind you, the Charedi mayoral victory last time was not by large margins (about a thousand votes). And even that was occasionally because of the current "Kiddush Hashem" consideration.
This is the case, both for Degel Hatorah, the largest Charedi party, and for the mayor himself. He had better shape up or use onion in the eyes to simulate tears, because complaints are coming from the "safe" camp, as well.
As we have written here in the past, if another Charedi candidate decides to run for mayor, all bets are off. There might even be only one Charedi candidate in the running, one not named "Moshe Abutbul". A word to the wise.
Why would folks vote differently? Just read about this city on Mehadrinews! Where to begin? Ramah Gimmel's unceasing tales of woe, the same sort of thing in the new Mishkafayim neighborhood, the Jewish Rock music festival cancellation – reinstated only due to Mehadrinews' efforts!, ignoring the pitiful condition of the Ramah Alef shopping center, and general apathy toward the residents' concerns and issues.
The atmosphere is not exactly that of unity and support inside the national parties, either, as evidenced by the elections for Beit Shemesh's chief rabbi.
With Heaven's help, Yehuda Segal